It's never too early to start thinking about who will vie for Bredesen's job in 2010. I've mused earlier on this, commenting that Rep. Marsha Blackburn's ads in the 2006 House race had an eye on the Governor's Mansion in 2010.
I think it's time to add another Republican name to the potential bunch. Former Senator Bill Frist. Having officially declined to enter into the 2008 presidential fray, he's spending more time with his family. And who could blame him? The prospect of campaigning on the shining acheivements of the 109th Congress wasn't exactly thrilling, least of all to the leader of that fracas.
Bill may consider taking historically more successful route to the White House. Most who successfully run for President have been their homestate governor may be his thinking and he is right. By 2010, the memory of the 109th Congress will probably be long fuzzy.
Other Repubicans wanting to run may turn out to be Marsha Blackburn, Zach Wamp, and maybe Jim Haslam Jr.
Wednesday, January 03, 2007
Legal Red Tape (the whole roll)
Business TN has an interesting cover article about one figure caught in the bruhaha between Bredesen and the Judicial Selection Commission. (Business TN) Interesting for its coverage of the history of the Tennessee Plan and its unforseen consequences, this piece is really a pean for J. Houston Gordon. An emminently qualified jurist, Gordon is caught in the peculiar situation of being on the controversial slate resubmitted by the Judicial Selection Commission.
Interesting reading ... but a technical legal controversy only a lawyer could love.
Interesting reading ... but a technical legal controversy only a lawyer could love.
King of the County - Big Bucks and a New Face
Aah, the new year, time for the Nashville Mayoral race to get serious. Two interesting tibdits.
-Clement winning over Republicans? The City Paper is reporting today on the electoral importance of winning over Davidson County Republicans. Clement is apprently taking this advice seriously, having had a sit-down with State Rep. Beth Harwell. Also of interest is Davidson County Republican Chariman Jon Crisp's comment that Republicans are leaning toward Bob Clement. An early trend but significant. If you combine Clement's apparent growing Republican support with his Democratic base and that does not leave much room for other candidates. It's shaping up to be a $2 million race for Mayor. It's highly doubtful that anyone but Clement can raise that amount.
-The crucial issues facing Mayoral candidates are shaping up to be Education and Crime. Bob Clement has emphasized these issues for a year now. Today, the City Paper editorial has agreed, pointing to them as the key issues for the race. There seems to be lots of agreement. David Briley, Karl Dean, and Buck Dozier all echoed same two issues in their announcements. So, no disagreement on issues. Everyone is moving to ground that Clement has cultivated for some time now. Winning is all about shaping the debate. Clement's team has done it's job well.
-As for the new face, Karl Dean's entry to mayoral race is big news. But it seems to be bad news for David Briley. They both draw from the same young trial lawyer base of support. One big difference is that Dean's wife has a significant family coal-mining fortune. Dean will probably follow Bredesen's model and self-finance to take advantage of that pot of money. While the money will flow, Dean may be forgetting that Bredesen lost his first two elections (agianst Bill Boner for Mayor and against Bob Clement for Congress in late 1980's). Money aside, Dean may have other problems. Dean also is viewed as the candidate who will keep the incumbents like David Manning (widely unpopular) in office. Despite all this, Dean is getting serious. He is offering staff jobs at up to $10,000 per month already and hired Jim Hester at a reported $8,000 per month. Hester ran Ford campaign up to June 2006 when he was forced out and moved over to Democratic Coordinated Campaign (not a good sign).
-Clement winning over Republicans? The City Paper is reporting today on the electoral importance of winning over Davidson County Republicans. Clement is apprently taking this advice seriously, having had a sit-down with State Rep. Beth Harwell. Also of interest is Davidson County Republican Chariman Jon Crisp's comment that Republicans are leaning toward Bob Clement. An early trend but significant. If you combine Clement's apparent growing Republican support with his Democratic base and that does not leave much room for other candidates. It's shaping up to be a $2 million race for Mayor. It's highly doubtful that anyone but Clement can raise that amount.
-The crucial issues facing Mayoral candidates are shaping up to be Education and Crime. Bob Clement has emphasized these issues for a year now. Today, the City Paper editorial has agreed, pointing to them as the key issues for the race. There seems to be lots of agreement. David Briley, Karl Dean, and Buck Dozier all echoed same two issues in their announcements. So, no disagreement on issues. Everyone is moving to ground that Clement has cultivated for some time now. Winning is all about shaping the debate. Clement's team has done it's job well.
-As for the new face, Karl Dean's entry to mayoral race is big news. But it seems to be bad news for David Briley. They both draw from the same young trial lawyer base of support. One big difference is that Dean's wife has a significant family coal-mining fortune. Dean will probably follow Bredesen's model and self-finance to take advantage of that pot of money. While the money will flow, Dean may be forgetting that Bredesen lost his first two elections (agianst Bill Boner for Mayor and against Bob Clement for Congress in late 1980's). Money aside, Dean may have other problems. Dean also is viewed as the candidate who will keep the incumbents like David Manning (widely unpopular) in office. Despite all this, Dean is getting serious. He is offering staff jobs at up to $10,000 per month already and hired Jim Hester at a reported $8,000 per month. Hester ran Ford campaign up to June 2006 when he was forced out and moved over to Democratic Coordinated Campaign (not a good sign).
Cleaning out the Inbox - Governor and Party Roundup
-Gary Odom was elected by Democrats in the General Assembly. It appears to be a protest vote against Bredesen, punishment for his beneign neglect of them. Odom and Bredesen never been close. If anyone recalls, Odom raised significant questions about finances and contracts on Bredesen's original deal with Titans. Odom was right but nobody cared. Football can always trump politics.
-Gov. Bredesen has appointed Stuart Brunson to be new Deputy Governor, replacing Dave Cooley. This is a speed-bump of a story. Brunson's appointment will mean little practical change as Cooley and Brunson have long worked together as a team. A new face is all this is really about. The only significant change that Brunson's appointment will bring is even more influence for Johnny Hayes, Bredesen's chief fundraiser. Brunson and Hayes are business partners in various lobbying interests. The pick of the new Deputy Governor is all in the family.
-Not getting the tap for Deputy Governor was Randy Button, former Democratic state party chair. Failing to get the spot, Button has formed a lobbying company of his own.
-Bredesen apparently will tap Gray Sasser, son of former U.S. Senator Sasser, to be the new Democratic state party chair. A weak move by Bredesen as there seems to be some doubts about Gray's fundraising abilities. All this is of course subject to a vote next week by the state party executive committee. But really, whoever Bredesen wants in this role, he'll get.
-Gov. Bredesen has appointed Stuart Brunson to be new Deputy Governor, replacing Dave Cooley. This is a speed-bump of a story. Brunson's appointment will mean little practical change as Cooley and Brunson have long worked together as a team. A new face is all this is really about. The only significant change that Brunson's appointment will bring is even more influence for Johnny Hayes, Bredesen's chief fundraiser. Brunson and Hayes are business partners in various lobbying interests. The pick of the new Deputy Governor is all in the family.
-Not getting the tap for Deputy Governor was Randy Button, former Democratic state party chair. Failing to get the spot, Button has formed a lobbying company of his own.
-Bredesen apparently will tap Gray Sasser, son of former U.S. Senator Sasser, to be the new Democratic state party chair. A weak move by Bredesen as there seems to be some doubts about Gray's fundraising abilities. All this is of course subject to a vote next week by the state party executive committee. But really, whoever Bredesen wants in this role, he'll get.
Cleaning out the Inbox
As the new year rolls on, I thought I'd at post some of the tidbits from the past month or so. I know, I know ... old news is not news. I'll feel better though when the inbox is clean. So, following will be series of old news posts
Surge and Accelerate - Getting Ready for the Debate
The semi-official leaks of the "New Way Forward in Iraq" are making their way through the morning news shows. While none of the information is a surprise, the media engines are beginning to rev in preparation for exhausting coverage of the official announcement scheduled for sometime next week.
So let's review ahead of the media blast.
According to the leaks the plan's central pillar is to boost troops numbers by 20,000. Also, reconstruction funding will be boosted. The "logic" of the plan is to accelerate the fight for security so that the Iraqi's can take over security roles sooner. The title of this new way forward? "Surge and Accelerate"
Ok, let's take this step by step:
-This plan is immensely unpopular: The American people are overwhelmingly against the idea of a surge. 56% Oppose, 11% Favor, %32 for the Status Quo. (Polling Report). The troops on the ground oppose this plan. For the first time, serving troops disapprove of the president's handling of the war. In terms of troop numbers, 39% favor current levels or lower while %22 favor a surge similar to Bush's plan. (Military Times Poll)(AP News).
-In terms of the reconstruction effort, where did Bush get the notion that more money is the answer. As has been amply demonstrated, the problem with the reconstruction to date has been corruption and a lack of security. (Washington Post)(BBC). Even giving Bush the benefit of the doubt about the outcome of the surge in terms of security, I will be eagerly awaiting details on where this new money will come from and how it will be handled differently from past reconstruction monies that have been squandered, wasted, or outright stolen. Also, while Congressional Democrats may be too timid to withhold funding from our troops, it is a relatively risk-free proposition to withhold funding from the proven money-pit that is the Iraqi Reconstruction.
-From a P.R. perspective, "Surge and Accelerate"? Really?! This is the best they can come up with? In a more serious vein, the time for new slogans has long been over. But apparently, P.R. and political concerns are paramount with the Administration. The New York Times had an interesting piece yesterday. Apparently, by mid-September the Administration could not deny what has been obvious to the rest of the world, namely that Iraq was spiraling out of control. They saw the need for a reassessment but would not say so publically before the elections. So, let me get this straight, the lives of our troops are less important that appearing steadfast?! (New York Times).
This just in, Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri Al-Maliki has announced that he will not seek a second term and that he "wishes his job was over"!! (Reuters).
Worst of all, this is the administration's best idea! No really, no other ideas. The American Enterpise Institute's Frederick Kagan told the Wall Street Journal yesterday.
"If we surge and it doesn't work, it's hard to imagine what we do after that. But we're already in a very bad spot, and if we don't do anything defeat is imminent."
All in all, I don't see more numbers making a difference. But it sure will be an interesting week.
Tuesday, January 02, 2007
Brushing off the cobwebs
I must apologize for my brief hiatus away from blogging. The election sapped all my energy. But as the new year dawns on us all, I'll be back regularly posting. So much to follow ...
-The 110th Congress: a breath of fresh air or more of the same?
-The Nashville Mayoral race begins in earnest!
-The 105th Tennessee General Assembly convenes next week.
-And, though I prefer to keep my musing relatively local, I may not be able to refrain from commenting on Bush's "New Way Forward in Iraq."
See y'all soon!
-The 110th Congress: a breath of fresh air or more of the same?
-The Nashville Mayoral race begins in earnest!
-The 105th Tennessee General Assembly convenes next week.
-And, though I prefer to keep my musing relatively local, I may not be able to refrain from commenting on Bush's "New Way Forward in Iraq."
See y'all soon!
Monday, October 30, 2006
News2 - The Candidates Speak - Corker on Iraq
Just caught a new News2 (WKRN) feature. Everyday till the election, they will give a moment to one of the Senate candidates to address a specific question. What a refreshing break from the constant commercials ...
Today it was Bob Corker who was asked what the U.S. should do in Iraq. Here's a summary of Corker's answer:
-Corker doesn't believe that we went into Iraq with enough troops.
Does that mean that Corker wants to send more troops? He didn't say.
-We should listen to the military on military issues.
I'm starting to see a trend ... hmm, didn't Bush give this list last week?
-We need to train Iraqis to handle their own security as soon as possible, disarm militias and concentrate on "hotspots" like Baghdad.
Aah, it is the Bush plan, namely a more verbose form of "stay the course" (wait, I forgot we're not using that phrase anymore) Will there be any surprises? Wait for it ...
-We need to support the Iraqi government as they "figure out how to divide borders within Iraq."
What's this? Divide borders? Does this mean that Corker supports a dissolution of Iraq into 3 ethnic sub-states? This topic has been bandied about for a while. Does this mean that Corker is giving up in the idea of a unified Iraq? So many questions ...
I'm looking forward to this spot evey day.
Today it was Bob Corker who was asked what the U.S. should do in Iraq. Here's a summary of Corker's answer:
-Corker doesn't believe that we went into Iraq with enough troops.
Does that mean that Corker wants to send more troops? He didn't say.
-We should listen to the military on military issues.
I'm starting to see a trend ... hmm, didn't Bush give this list last week?
-We need to train Iraqis to handle their own security as soon as possible, disarm militias and concentrate on "hotspots" like Baghdad.
Aah, it is the Bush plan, namely a more verbose form of "stay the course" (wait, I forgot we're not using that phrase anymore) Will there be any surprises? Wait for it ...
-We need to support the Iraqi government as they "figure out how to divide borders within Iraq."
What's this? Divide borders? Does this mean that Corker supports a dissolution of Iraq into 3 ethnic sub-states? This topic has been bandied about for a while. Does this mean that Corker is giving up in the idea of a unified Iraq? So many questions ...
I'm looking forward to this spot evey day.
Faith Day at the Polls
I thought I would pass along information about this event. It's an interesting strategy on the part of local Democrats. I cannot make it tomorrow. But if anyone does, please let us know the details.
Governor Phil Bredesen and Congressman Harold Ford, Jr. will join Bishop Joseph Walker, III and other faith leaders for Faith Day at the Polls this Tuesday, October 31 at 4:30 p.m. CST at the Davidson County Election Commission, Howard School Building, 700 2nd Avenue South, Nashville. All pastors, faith leaders, congregational members, and people of faith are encouraged to join us between 4:30 and 6:00 to vote early and celebrate our faith.
Sunday, October 29, 2006
Ford vs. Corker Tidbits - #5 More Numbers?
Math was never my strong suite and the flurry of polls are enough to give me headaches. It's not the simplistic breakdown that the news gives you; it's the assorted related numbers.
For example, the latest Ramussen poll released on Friday shows the same results that other polls have been reporting: Corker %47, Ford, %46. That I can understand ... it's a close race.
But let's add some more layers,
First, I'm not sure what the significance of the percentage of voters who are voting specifically against a candidate is. The second factor, who has more "very favorables" is also opaque. Does this suggest that Ford's base is more energized, will turnout be more robust given his high favorability?
Most baffling of all, the average Tennessee voter is basing their vote on North Korea? Really?! I understand that threat of nuclear terrorism can get us fleeing our rational selves. But does anyone really think that Corker or Ford will "do a better job" on North Korea? Do people understand what the Senate does?
For example, the latest Ramussen poll released on Friday shows the same results that other polls have been reporting: Corker %47, Ford, %46. That I can understand ... it's a close race.
But let's add some more layers,
Both candidates win support from most of their partisan base.Unaffiliated voters are split 43% to 43%. Thirty-three percent (33%)of Corker supporters consider their vote to be anti-Ford. Only 21% of Ford supporters consider their vote anti-Corker.
The two candidates have about the same overall favorability rating, but Ford is viewed "very favorably" by more voters—30% versus 22% for Corker.
Almost three quarters of voters say North Korea is at least "somewhat" important in determining how they'll vote in the Senate race. The Foley scandal, by contrast, has traction only with Democrats, disposed to prefer Ford anyway. (link)
First, I'm not sure what the significance of the percentage of voters who are voting specifically against a candidate is. The second factor, who has more "very favorables" is also opaque. Does this suggest that Ford's base is more energized, will turnout be more robust given his high favorability?
Most baffling of all, the average Tennessee voter is basing their vote on North Korea? Really?! I understand that threat of nuclear terrorism can get us fleeing our rational selves. But does anyone really think that Corker or Ford will "do a better job" on North Korea? Do people understand what the Senate does?
King of the County - Nashivlle Mayor's Race
Strategy is everything in life, love and politics. You know how you really, really dislike the merchants who put out the Christmas and holiday signs and sales before Thanksgiving and now even before Halloween? Well, Howard Gentry in his campaign for Mayor of Nashville has joined their annoying ranks.
Gentry put up his yard signs for Mayor this weekend - 10 months before the Mayor's election and 10 days before the election for Governor, U.S.Senate, Congress and General Assembly. Apprently Gentry suffers from this kind of mismanagement frequently. As Vice Mayor his job essentially is to appoint committee chairs and manage the Metro Council meetings. However, in that role, Gentry's claim to fame is that he is king of bad management as he lets Council meetings roll on to 1:00AM and 2:00AM in the morning.
Gentry put up his yard signs for Mayor this weekend - 10 months before the Mayor's election and 10 days before the election for Governor, U.S.Senate, Congress and General Assembly. Apprently Gentry suffers from this kind of mismanagement frequently. As Vice Mayor his job essentially is to appoint committee chairs and manage the Metro Council meetings. However, in that role, Gentry's claim to fame is that he is king of bad management as he lets Council meetings roll on to 1:00AM and 2:00AM in the morning.
Ford vs. Corker Tidbits - #4
Why do politicos assume we are dumb? Today I got a push poll from Bob Corker although the voice claimed to be policy, not politically, based. The computerized voice said it was a "Tennessee" group calling me but my caller ID said it was Herndon,Virginia. It asked my opinion on guns, gays, abortion, terrorists, taxes, etc. but noticeably did not ask about Iraq, North Korea, Social Security, or the deficit. On each issue it followed any "yes" answer by reciting that Harold Ford is terrible on that issue.
Are our voters really this naive that they would believe anything an anonymous mechanical voice says about either Ford or Corker?
Are our voters really this naive that they would believe anything an anonymous mechanical voice says about either Ford or Corker?
Ford-Corker Debate - Future or the Past?
Depending on what your predictions are about the upcoming election; or on your thoughts on the influence and importance of a debate ... it was unfortunate that the final Ford-Corker debate had to compete with the Vols game on Saturday night. I'm not sure who beyond a small politically-obsessed portion of Tennessee's population gave it the attention that the debate deserved.
Fortunately for the football fans, the debate didn't offer anything strikingly new concerning these two candidates. At least nothing that one couldn't glean from some astute attention to the campaign thus far.
Of particlar note was Corker's opening statement. Check out Sean B at Nashville for the 21st Century for more on this bit from the final Ford-Corker Debate. Corker told the same tired, and apprently pointless story about starting his business with "$8,000 and a pick-up truck." By contrast, Ford spent his time talking about the issues, focusing on the future. Agree or disagree with Ford's policy ideas, no one can say that he isn't talking about the issues.
*Sigh* Corker's story is tired code to communicate his 'self-made' status. The same logic lies behind his series of commericals featuring his family. I've already commented on the one featuring his wife Lizzie. The one with his daughters is far more inane. I don't think his daughters could sound more disinterested as they recite a litany singing Bob's praises. My favorite line ... "he's hilarious ..."
I'd be laughing too if it weren't so serious.
Fortunately for the football fans, the debate didn't offer anything strikingly new concerning these two candidates. At least nothing that one couldn't glean from some astute attention to the campaign thus far.
Of particlar note was Corker's opening statement. Check out Sean B at Nashville for the 21st Century for more on this bit from the final Ford-Corker Debate. Corker told the same tired, and apprently pointless story about starting his business with "$8,000 and a pick-up truck." By contrast, Ford spent his time talking about the issues, focusing on the future. Agree or disagree with Ford's policy ideas, no one can say that he isn't talking about the issues.
*Sigh* Corker's story is tired code to communicate his 'self-made' status. The same logic lies behind his series of commericals featuring his family. I've already commented on the one featuring his wife Lizzie. The one with his daughters is far more inane. I don't think his daughters could sound more disinterested as they recite a litany singing Bob's praises. My favorite line ... "he's hilarious ..."
I'd be laughing too if it weren't so serious.
Friday, October 27, 2006
Ford vs. Corker Tidbits - #3 or What's in a Number?
Polls, polls, polls ... everbody's got one ... they all say something
different. Here's a rundown of the latest prognostication. The
Tennessean is out today with the banner headline, "Corker a
bit ahead in tight, mean race." (link- Tennessean) Citing the
latest(?) Los Angeles Times poll, they claim Corker is ahead
by 5 points.
On the other hand, the SurveyUSA poll from October 25th has the
race a dead heat at 48% a piece with an all important 4% undecided.
(link - SurveyUSA)
So many polls ... all so close ... it's going to be interesting.
On a related poll note, I think the polls have everything to do with
Bredesen's hyper-activity on Ford's behalf. At this point, there are
2 major tv ads. (link - YouTube) This is a clear sign that Ford's polling numbers are "good enough" to earn Bredesen's help. Earlier when Ford's numbers were far poorer, Bredesen would not even make joint appearances with him.
This is also a clear sign that Bredesen's race is all sewn-up. Speaking of polls, Bredesen continues to hold a massive lead over
Jim Bryson. Can you say 30 points?! (link - SurveyUSA)
different. Here's a rundown of the latest prognostication. The
Tennessean is out today with the banner headline, "Corker a
bit ahead in tight, mean race." (link- Tennessean) Citing the
latest(?) Los Angeles Times poll, they claim Corker is ahead
by 5 points.
On the other hand, the SurveyUSA poll from October 25th has the
race a dead heat at 48% a piece with an all important 4% undecided.
(link - SurveyUSA)
So many polls ... all so close ... it's going to be interesting.
On a related poll note, I think the polls have everything to do with
Bredesen's hyper-activity on Ford's behalf. At this point, there are
2 major tv ads. (link - YouTube) This is a clear sign that Ford's polling numbers are "good enough" to earn Bredesen's help. Earlier when Ford's numbers were far poorer, Bredesen would not even make joint appearances with him.
This is also a clear sign that Bredesen's race is all sewn-up. Speaking of polls, Bredesen continues to hold a massive lead over
Jim Bryson. Can you say 30 points?! (link - SurveyUSA)
Ford vs. Corker Tidbits - #2
FORD vs. CORKER #2 For all the claims of the "most negative campaign ever." I was particular struck by Ford's speech at the Nashville Exchange club on Tuesday (link - Tennessean). Ford emphasized Iraq and his faith based views ala the Golden Rule (remember that little gem?). What was missing was mud-slinging attacks against Corker.
I'd even go as far as saying that Ford's tv ads are compartively tame. The brunt of the Corker attack ads are paid for by the DSCC. Now, I know that to some there is little difference between the Ford campaign and the DSCC. But I think it's telling compared to Corker's incessent attack ads, all duely tagged, "I'm Bob Corker and I approve this message."
I'd even go as far as saying that Ford's tv ads are compartively tame. The brunt of the Corker attack ads are paid for by the DSCC. Now, I know that to some there is little difference between the Ford campaign and the DSCC. But I think it's telling compared to Corker's incessent attack ads, all duely tagged, "I'm Bob Corker and I approve this message."
Ford vs. Corker Tidbits - #1
Where to begin?!This race has become such a media entity both locally and nationally. Here are a few tidbits ahead to whet our appetite ahead of the Corker and Ford face off for the third and final debate of the campaign.
FORD v. CORKER#1- Though it's old news, it is interesting that the new campaign management team for Corker as of a couple of weeks ago is led by Tom Ingram who is Sen Lamar Alexander's chief of staff. It's hard to assess these past couple of weeks. Poll numbers say one thing ... I'll be dealing with that in shortly. Corker's campaign has blitzed the local TV markets with a bizarre array of ads. Has anyone seen the one with his wife Elizabeth? (link - Youtube) Is that supposed to go for family value voters? Seems to me to a shinking ship of an ad. Gernally, it seems like Corker's ad strategy is to throw everything against the wall and see what sticks. I don't know what role Ingram has in all this. Though it is interesting to note that Ingram is a big time Democrat. Word is that Ingram will be voting for Bredesen. (link - Metropulse).
FORD v. CORKER#1- Though it's old news, it is interesting that the new campaign management team for Corker as of a couple of weeks ago is led by Tom Ingram who is Sen Lamar Alexander's chief of staff. It's hard to assess these past couple of weeks. Poll numbers say one thing ... I'll be dealing with that in shortly. Corker's campaign has blitzed the local TV markets with a bizarre array of ads. Has anyone seen the one with his wife Elizabeth? (link - Youtube) Is that supposed to go for family value voters? Seems to me to a shinking ship of an ad. Gernally, it seems like Corker's ad strategy is to throw everything against the wall and see what sticks. I don't know what role Ingram has in all this. Though it is interesting to note that Ingram is a big time Democrat. Word is that Ingram will be voting for Bredesen. (link - Metropulse).
Thursday, October 26, 2006
Congressional Upheaval? Not Here ...
Despite all the national talk about upheaval in Congress due to Iraq, Mark Foley and Bush's generally abysmal ratings, in Tennessee the more things change the more they stay the same.
Here's the rundown:
All incumbent Representatives - Jimmy Duncan, Zach Wamp, Marsha Blackburn, Lincoln Davis, Bart Gordon, Jim Cooper, John Tanner will win.
The Republican nominee, David Davis, will apparently win in 1stDistrict succeeding the retiring Rep. Bill Jenkins. Not a surprise as the Republicans have held this seat since 1881!
In the big 9th District (Shelby County) race for Congress to succeed Harold Ford Jr., state Senator Steve Cohen should defeat both the Republican and the Ford family candidate, Jake Ford.
Here's the rundown:
All incumbent Representatives - Jimmy Duncan, Zach Wamp, Marsha Blackburn, Lincoln Davis, Bart Gordon, Jim Cooper, John Tanner will win.
The Republican nominee, David Davis, will apparently win in 1stDistrict succeeding the retiring Rep. Bill Jenkins. Not a surprise as the Republicans have held this seat since 1881!
In the big 9th District (Shelby County) race for Congress to succeed Harold Ford Jr., state Senator Steve Cohen should defeat both the Republican and the Ford family candidate, Jake Ford.
King of the County - The 2007 Nashville Mayor's Race
This 2007 election is already bloody.
The Contenders:
Clear favorite in both votes and money is former Congressman Bob Clement. Chasing the leader is Vice Mayor Howard Gentry and Councilman Buck Dozier, trying to catch up. Now Councilman-at-large David Briley is about to jump in this race as well.
The Match-up:
So it will be Clement versus three guys from the Nashville Metro Council ... a group that has lower approval ratings than President Bush and Congress, if you can imagine; whose new Courthouse building, not yet completed, is already the source of rumors about cost overruns (link - The Tennessean) and the kind of luxury carpeting and baubles that got the President of UT run off a couple of years ago.
Clement is challenging his opponents with an aggressive plan for a neighborhood advisory council, infrastructure repairs (storm water problems, street repairs, etc), and reducing crime by cracking down on drug dealers and cracking down on gangs.
Clement's opponents don't seem to understand or feel the pain of everyday people on these issues. Gentry was recently quoted that crime is important because we need to worry about artists who might not play at the new Symphony Hall because of their fear of crime. Clement's opponents were described by the Republican Party County Chairman as being soft on crime when Clement called for a crackdown on drugs and gangs to improve the quality of life in a recent mayor's debate. (link - City Paper).
With this sort of matchup, I might return to watching the Titans for some suspense.
The Contenders:
Clear favorite in both votes and money is former Congressman Bob Clement. Chasing the leader is Vice Mayor Howard Gentry and Councilman Buck Dozier, trying to catch up. Now Councilman-at-large David Briley is about to jump in this race as well.
The Match-up:
So it will be Clement versus three guys from the Nashville Metro Council ... a group that has lower approval ratings than President Bush and Congress, if you can imagine; whose new Courthouse building, not yet completed, is already the source of rumors about cost overruns (link - The Tennessean) and the kind of luxury carpeting and baubles that got the President of UT run off a couple of years ago.
Clement is challenging his opponents with an aggressive plan for a neighborhood advisory council, infrastructure repairs (storm water problems, street repairs, etc), and reducing crime by cracking down on drug dealers and cracking down on gangs.
Clement's opponents don't seem to understand or feel the pain of everyday people on these issues. Gentry was recently quoted that crime is important because we need to worry about artists who might not play at the new Symphony Hall because of their fear of crime. Clement's opponents were described by the Republican Party County Chairman as being soft on crime when Clement called for a crackdown on drugs and gangs to improve the quality of life in a recent mayor's debate. (link - City Paper).
With this sort of matchup, I might return to watching the Titans for some suspense.
Bredesen on '08?! And Who's Next?
At the Tennessee Womens Political Caucus convention in Nashville this past weekend Bredesen spoke and was asked if he would run for President in 2008. He tapdanced quickly away from any real answer but my inside source says Bredesen has a campaign button (given to him as a gift) that says "Phil in 08". Since no Democrat has won the Presidency since 1932 unless he (or she) carried at least two or three southern states. Bredesen has to think about this more than he admits. I am are sure this had nothing to do with Bredesen writing an op-ed piece for the New York Times (link - login maybe required) two weeks ago urging that a national campaign about healthcare reform should be the mantra for the Democrats. The Democrats would do well to take his advice.
In other gubentorial news, the 2010 race has already started. Why do you think Marsha Blackburn is running that talking head ad? (looking for the link) Why do you think conservative Lincoln Davis sent Beecher Stevens, his chief political guy, over to run the Harold Ford campaign? Can Knoxville Mayor Haslam, Bill Purcell, Steve Gill etc be far behind?
Tuesday, October 24, 2006
The Founding of Nashborough
Founded in 1779, our fair community of Nashborough tooks its first wobbly steps upon the banks of the Cumberland River. In an early display of political spin, our leaders changed the name of our community to Nashville, demonstrating disdain for our British oppressors and favor for our revolutionary French brethren.
In commemoration of the bicentennial of our city (I know ... 2006 and 1779 ...? Such are the vagaries of technicalities) I thought it was time to add my voice to the growing chorus of bloggers. In honor of the political spin that lies at the very heart of our beloved Nashville, Nashborough Politics will attempt to cut through the mud-slinging, innuendo, and general hoopla. Nashborough Politics brings you all the happenings in Tennessee politics with a unique style.
I am no one of particular import, just a news-junkie with some skills that both politicans and journalists assume none of us possess: critical thinking skills and a knack for logically correct argument.
Enjoy!
In commemoration of the bicentennial of our city (I know ... 2006 and 1779 ...? Such are the vagaries of technicalities) I thought it was time to add my voice to the growing chorus of bloggers. In honor of the political spin that lies at the very heart of our beloved Nashville, Nashborough Politics will attempt to cut through the mud-slinging, innuendo, and general hoopla. Nashborough Politics brings you all the happenings in Tennessee politics with a unique style.
I am no one of particular import, just a news-junkie with some skills that both politicans and journalists assume none of us possess: critical thinking skills and a knack for logically correct argument.
Enjoy!
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